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Browsing Industrial Engineering by Author "Yerlikaya-Özkurt, Fatma"
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Article cmaRs: A powerful predictive data mining package in R(SoftwareX, 2023-12-15) Yerlikaya-Özkurt, Fatma; Yazıcı, Ceyda; Batmaz, İnciConic Multivariate Adaptive Regression Splines (CMARS) is a very successful method for modeling nonlinear structures in high-dimensional data. It is based on MARS algorithm and utilizes Tikhonov regularization and Conic Quadratic Optimization (CQO). In this paper, the open-source R package, cmaRs, built to construct CMARS models for prediction and binary classification is presented with illustrative applications. Also, the CMARS algorithm is provided in both pseudo and R code. Note here that cmaRs package provides a good example for a challenging implementation of CQO based on MOSEK solver in R environment by linking R to MOSEK through the package Rmosek.Article Strategic electricity production planning of Turkey via mixed integer programming based on time series forecasting(Mathematics, 2023-04-14) Yörük, Gökay; Baç, Uğur; Yerlikaya-Özkurt, Fatma; Ünlü, Kamil DemirberkThis study examines Turkey’s energy planning in terms of strategic planning, energy policy, electricity production planning, technology selection, and environmental policies. A mixed integer optimization model is proposed for strategic electricity planning in Turkey. A set of energy resources is considered simultaneously in this research, and in addition to cost minimization, different strategic level policies, such as CO2 emission reduction policies, energy resource import/export restriction policies, and renewable energy promotion policies, are also considered. To forecast electricity demand over the planning horizon, a variety of forecasting techniques, including regression methods, exponential smoothing, Winter’s method, and Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average methods, are used, and the best method is chosen using various error measures. The optimization model constructed for Turkey’s Strategic Electricity Planning is obtained for two different planning intervals. The findings indicate that the use of renewable energy generation options, such as solar, wind, and hydroelectric alternatives, will increase significantly, while the use of fossil fuels in energy generation will decrease sharply. The findings of this study suggest a gradual increase in investments in renewable energy-based electricity production strategies are required to eventually replace fossil fuel alternatives. This change not only reduces investment, operation, and maintenance costs, but also reduces emissions in the long term.